USD/CHF-Commentary
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December 29, 2023 10:40 AM UTC
EUR/CHF has moved back down to yesterday lows and helped to provide strength for the CHF across the board. However, it is difficult to see the move lasting fundamentally. Though the SNB is expected to cut rates less than the ECB next year, the SNB decision to stop FX sales at the December meetin
December 29, 2023 9:06 AM UTC
Europe has started off with a move lower on the JPY against the USD and EUR, while in contrast the CHF has moved higher against the EUR and across the board. However, this is not news driven but rather flow driven and traders find it difficult to see long lasting meaning in the moves. The mood i
December 28, 2023 5:01 PM UTC
The USD then bounced off the low, as global bond yields drifted higher on a sense that the November/December optimism could be getting ahead of the Fed. Additionally, some U.S. money market tightening before year end also helped lift the USD off the lows. Finally, USDCHF stalled before 0.8320, whi
December 28, 2023 2:00 PM UTC
After the post-Christmas USD losses, it would be normal to see some consolidation, but end of year USD selling in thin conditions could still move the USD says traders. Focus on USD/JPY and USD/CHF into the New Year, though EUR/CHF is now getting to levels that could see SNB smoothing intervention
December 28, 2023 8:19 AM UTC
European trading has seen a soft start for the USD, as sentiment and end of year flows keep the USD on the defensive. While the main short-term focus is the Asia surge in the JPY, the USD also remains soft against European majors. Once again USDCHF is moving ahead of EURUSD and GBPUSD, with EURC
December 27, 2023 8:05 AM UTC
EUR/USD has been stable in early European trading, but the tone remains USD negative. The low core U.S. November PCE inflation has cemented Fed rate cut hopes, with a 93% probability of a 25bps cut at the March 20 FOMC meeting. Though the money markets are discounting the same amount of Fed and EC