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April 16, 2024

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Consolidating, room for deeper pullback from 1.0955 high
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April 16, 2024 6:54 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extending consolidation around the 1.0900 level following bounce from the 1.0875 low

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Still supported at the 190.00 level, room for lower later
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April 16, 2024 6:33 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above the 190.00 level

GBP flows: GBP softer after labour market data
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April 16, 2024 6:31 AM UTC

Earnings data broadly in line with consensus, but employment data showing clearer weakness suggests upside risks for EUR/GBP

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Leaning lower from the 100.80 high
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April 16, 2024 6:23 AM UTC

Leaning lower in choppy trade from the 100.80 high

Chart USD/MYR Update: Retest 4.7925/4.7975 highs
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April 16, 2024 6:00 AM UTC

 Pressure remains on the upside to retest the 4.7925/4.7975, 2023 and February YTD highs

Chart USD/INR Update: Fresh all-time high
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April 16, 2024 5:22 AM UTC

 Gapped up at the opening above the 83.4550 high to reach fresh all-time high at 83.5375

Asia Summary and Highlights 16 Apr
Freemium Article

April 16, 2024 5:18 AM UTC

Asia Session
While Japanese cabinet's Suzuki and Hayashi both seems to have escalated their rhetoric against the JPY weakness, the broad USD strength seems to be in the driver seat. No doubt the pace of JPY weakness has been rapid and we are getting closer and closer to the intervention zone, the lan

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, April 16th
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April 16, 2024 5:15 AM UTC

GBP in focus on labour market and CPI data
Scope for a more dovish tone to emerge if earnings data soften further
EUR/USD downside looks more restricted from here
JPY likely to have bottomed out on the crosses

AUD/USD flows: Dragged by sentiment
Paying Article

April 16, 2024 5:15 AM UTC

Risk sentiment broadly weak

USD/JPY flows: One way train
Paying Article

April 16, 2024 4:50 AM UTC

USD remains strong

Chart USD/CNH Update: Retest the 7.2820, Mar high
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April 16, 2024 3:30 AM UTC

Saw break above the trendline from the September high at the 7.2700 level to retest the 7.2820, Mar YTD high

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Sharply higher above the 16000 level
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April 16, 2024 3:21 AM UTC

Gapped up at the open from the holiday break above the 16000 level to reach fresh high at the 16200 level

Chart USD/THB Update: Extending gains, scope to the 37.00 level
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April 16, 2024 2:45 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 36.80 high has given way to retest here following bounce from the 36.30/36.20 support.

Chart USD/KRW Update: Pressuring the 1400.00 level
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April 16, 2024 2:33 AM UTC

Further extending the bullish break of the 2023 year high at 1363.00 to reach the 1400.00 level

Chart USD/SGD Update: Extending gains
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April 16, 2024 2:14 AM UTC

Consolidation at the 1.3600/20 area has given way to break to further extend strong rally from the 1.3438 low of last week

Chart GBP/USD Update: Under pressure, 1.2400 level within reach
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April 16, 2024 1:49 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.2427 low of last week has given way to fresh selling pressure

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending losses, focus on 1.0600
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April 16, 2024 1:37 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the downside to extend sharp losses last week

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending choppy trade below 165.35 high
Paying Article

April 16, 2024 1:21 AM UTC

 Turned up from the 162.60/162.00 support area to extend choppy trade below the 165.35, March multi-year high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Extending gains, scope to 155.00/15
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April 16, 2024 1:00 AM UTC

 Pressure remains firmly on the upside to reach fresh high at 154.45 

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extending losses
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April 16, 2024 12:38 AM UTC

Prices remains under pressure and losses extend to the .5900 level

Chart AUD/USD Update: Under pressure, room to .6400 level
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April 16, 2024 12:18 AM UTC

Prices remains under pressure as losses extend to retest the .6442 February year low

April 15, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, April 16th
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

GBP in focus on labour market and CPI data
Scope for a more dovish tone to emerge if earnings data soften further
EUR/USD downside looks more restricted from here
JPY likely to have bottomed out on the crosses

North American Summary and Highlights 15 Apr
Freemium Article

April 15, 2024 7:43 PM UTC

Overview - The USD advanced on strong US data and equity weakness as Middle East worries persisted.  

Preview: Due April 26 - U.S. March Personal Income and Spending - Core PCE prices seen less strong than core CPI
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 4:40 PM UTC

We expect March to deliver a second straight 0.3% increase in the core PCE price index, softer than the third straight 0.4% rise in core CPI, which was up by 0.36% before rounding for a second straight month.  We also expect a 0.5% increase in personal income and a 0.7% increase in personal spendin

Chart USD/BRL Update: Fresh year highs - focus on strong resistance at 5.2000 - 5.2100
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 3:36 PM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion support at 5.0000 has given way to a sharp bounce

Chart USD/CAD Update: Fresh 20524 high - studies remain positive
Freemium Article

April 15, 2024 3:23 PM UTC

Late-December gains have extended to a fresh year high at 1.3787

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, April 16th
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 3:05 PM UTC

GBP in focus on labour market and CPI data
Scope for a more dovish tone to emerge if earnings data soften further
EUR/USD downside looks more restricted from here
JPY likely to have bottomed out on the crosses

Preview: Due April 16 - U.S. March Industrial Production - Bounce above weak recent trend
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 2:57 PM UTC

We expect March industrial production to rise by 0.6% which would be a significant improvement from a recent marginally negative trend. For manufacturing we expect a modest 0.3% increase, with a 0.2% increase in manufacturing ex autos. 

Preview: Due April 16 - U.S. March Housing Starts and Permits - Modest fall in Starts, modest rise in Permits
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 2:26 PM UTC

We expect March housing starts to fall by 2.7% to 1480k after a 10.7% February increase while permits rise by 0.4% to 1530k after a 2.4% increase in January. Recent housing sector data has been mixed but construction details were positive in March’s non-farm payroll. 

Chart AUD/USD Update: Approaching year low at 0.6443
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 2:18 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to fresh losses, with immediate focus on strong support at the 0.6443 current year low of 13 February

U.S. April NAHB Homebuilders Index - Upturn losing momentum
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 2:11 PM UTC

April’s NAHB homebuilders’ index is unchanged at 51, the stalling following four straight gains suggesting that recent gains in UST yields are having some impact via mortgage rates.

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Higher in JPY-driven trade - studies highlight caution
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 1:30 PM UTC

Recent selling interest has reached 162.27, where prices have posted a sharp JPY-driven bounce to trade back above 164.00

Preview: Due April 16 - Canada March CPI - Correction after two soft months
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 1:22 PM UTC

We expect March Canadian CPI to move higher to 3.0% yr/yr from 2.8% in February and 2.9% in January, with the monthly data likely to look quite firm after two soft months. However we do expect some modest progress lower in two of the three BoC’s core rates. 

Chart USD/JPY Update: Fresh 34 year highs - resistance at 155.00
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 1:18 PM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a fresh break higher

USD, EUR, CHF, JPY flows: USD firm on retail sales, JPY under pressure
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 1:10 PM UTC

Stronger thna expected retail sales keep the USD well bid. JPY under pressure but risk of intervention rising.

U.S. Fed's Williams - Optimistic and not very hawkish
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April 15, 2024 1:09 PM UTC

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Balanced at highs - daily studies overstretched
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 1:09 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation at fresh year highs around congestion resistance at 106.00

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U.S. March Retail Sales allow Q1 to come in marginally positive despite a weak start in January
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 12:56 PM UTC

March retail sales with a 0.7% increase have exceeded expectations despite an expected negative contribution from autos, with sales up by 1.1% both ex autos and in the control group that contributes to GDP, and by 1.0% ex autos and gasoline. This suggest continued consumer momentum entering Q2.

Chart USD/TRY Update: Back at highs, but long-term studies under pressure
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 12:09 PM UTC

Anticipated corrective losses have not been seen, as consolidation gives way to a fresh drift higher

Chart USD/RUB Update: Consolidating - studies improving
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April 15, 2024 11:41 AM UTC

Little change, as flattening overbought daily stochastics keep sentiment cautious 

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Balanced at 4-year lows - bearish daily studies stabilising
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April 15, 2024 11:22 AM UTC

Consolidation above congestion support at 4.2500 has given way to a PLN-driven bounce

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Testing strong resistance at 19.0000 - 19.1050
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 10:48 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to the anticipated break higher

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating losses, but studies continue to point lower
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April 15, 2024 10:22 AM UTC

Anticipated losses have bounced from above congestion support at 1.4600

Psychology for major markets Apr 15
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April 15, 2024 10:22 AM UTC

USD sentiment strong but riskier currencies recovering as Middle East concerns fade

European Summary and Highlights 15 Apr
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April 15, 2024 10:20 AM UTC

A quiet European morning session saw both EURUSD and USD/JPY move marginally higher, so that EUR/JPY rose around 20 pips to 164.

FX Weekly Strategy: April 15th-19th
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 9:05 AM UTC

GBP in focus on labour market and CPI data
Scope for a more dovish tone to emerge if earnings data soften further
EUR/USD downside looks more restricted from here
JPY likely to have bottomed out on the crosses

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating losses - studies continue to track lower
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 8:20 AM UTC

The test of strong support at 0.9684/94 is giving way to anticipated short-covering

Chart USD/CHF Update: Further consolidation at 2024 highs
Freemium Article

April 15, 2024 8:09 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Attempting to stabilise
Paying Article

April 15, 2024 7:52 AM UTC

The fall towards support at 0.8525 has met buying interest just above here