And now there are five -- five Wall Street behemoths, bigger than they
were before the Great Meltdown, paying fatter salaries and bonuses to
retain their so-called"talent," and raking in huge profits. The biggest
difference between now and last October is these biggies didn't know
then that they were too big to fail and the government would bail them
out if they got into trouble. Now they do. And like a giant, gawking
adolescent who's just discovered he can crash the Lexus convertible his
rich dad gave him and the next morning have a new one waiting in his
driveway courtesy of a dad who can't say no, the biggies will drive
even faster now, taking even bigger risks.
What to do? Two
ideas are floating around Washington, but only one is supported by the
Treasury and the White House. Unfortunately, it's the wrong one.
The
right idea is to break up the giant banks. I don't often agree with
Alan Greenspan but he was right when he said last week that "[i]f
they're too big to fail, they're too big." Greenspan noted that the
government broke up Standard Oil in 1911, and what happened? "The
individual parts became more valuable than the whole. Maybe that's what
we need to do." (Historic footnote: Had Greenspan not supported in 1999
Congress's repeal of the Glass Stagall Act, which separated investment
from commercial banking, we wouldn't be in the soup we're in to begin
with.)
Former Fed Chair Paul Volcker, whose only problem is he's
much too tall, last week told the New York Times he'd like to see the
restoration of the Glass-Steagall Act provisions that would separate
the financial giants' deposit-taking activities from their investment
and trading businesses. If this separation went into effect, JPMorgan
Chase would have to give up the trading operations acquired from Bear
Stearns. Bank of America and Merrill Lynch would go back to being
separate companies. And Goldman Sachs could no longer be a bank holding
company.
But the Obama Administration doesn't agree with
either Greenspan or Volcker. While it says it doesn't want another bank
bailout, its solution to the "too big to fail" problem doesn't go
nearly far enough. In fact, it doesn't really go anywhere. The
Administration would wait until a giant bank was in danger of failing
and then put it into a process akin to bankruptcy. The bank's assets
would be sold off to pay its creditors, and its shareholders would
likely walk off with nothing. The Treasury would determine when such a
"resolution" process was needed, and appoint a receiver, such as the
FDIC, to wind down the bank's operations.
There should be an
orderly process for putting big failing banks out of business. But this
isn't nearly enough. By the time a truly big bank gets into trouble --
one that poses a "systemic risk" to the entire economy -- it's too
late. Other banks, competing like mad for the same talent and profits,
will already have adopted many of the excessively-risky banks
techniques. And the pending failure will already have rocked the entire
financial sector.
Worse yet, the Administration's plan gives
the big failing bank an escape hatch: The receiver might decide that
the bank doesn't need to go out of business after all -- that all it
needs is some government money to tide it over until the crisis passes.
So the Treasury would also have the authority to provide the bank with
financial assistance in the form of loans or guarantees. In other
words, back to bailout. (Historical footnote: Summers and Geithner,
along with Bob Rubin, while at Treasury in 1999, joined Greenspan in
urging Congress to repeal Glass-Steagall. The four of them --
Greenspan, Summers, Rubin and Geithner also refused to regulate
derivatives, and pushed Congress to stop the Commodity Futures Trading
Corporation from doing so.)
Congress is cooking up a variation
on the "resolution" idea that would give the Federal Deposit Insurance
Corporation authority to trigger and handle the winding-down of big
banks in trouble, without Treasury involvement, and without an escape
hatch.
Needless to say, Wall Street favors the
Administration's approach -- which is why the Administration chose it
to begin with. If I were less charitable I'd say Geithner and Summers
continue to bend over bankwards to make Wall Street happy, and in doing
so continue to risk the credibility of the President, as well as the
long-term financial stability of the system.
Wall Street could
live with the slightly less delectable variation that Congress is
coming up with. But Congress won't go as far as to unleash the
antitrust laws on the big banks or resurrect the Glass-Steagall Act.
After all, the Street is a major benefactor of Congress and the
Street's lobbyists and lackeys are all over Capitol Hill.
The
Street obviously detests the notion that its behemoths should be broken
up. That's why the idea isn't even on the table. But it should be. No
important public interest is served by allowing giant banks to grow too
big to fail. Winding them down after they get into trouble is no
answer. By then the damage will already have been done.
Whether
it's using the antitrust laws or enacting a new Glass-Steagall Act, the
Wall Street giants should be split up -- and soon.
Originally published at
Robert Reich's Blog and reproduced here with the author's permission.
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