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Edward Hugh

Curriculum Vitae  • 

Edward is a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows.

Edward is based in Barcelona, and is currently engaged in research on aging, longevity, fertility and migration, and the impact of all of these on economic growth. He is currently working on a book "Population, The Ultimate Non-renewable Resource?" He is a regular contributor to a number of economics weblogs, including India Economy Blog, A Fistful of Euros, Global Economy Matters and Demography Matters. He was, in fact, a founding member of all these weblogs.

Edward follows in detail the Indian, Italian, Spanish, German and Japanese economies. He has a more than a passing interest in the economies of Turkey and Brazil and in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe.



Recent Articles by Edward Hugh

Just How Much of a Eurozone Rebound Really Was There in Q3?
November 17th, 2009

The Dollar As A Funding Currency
November 12th, 2009

Beyond the Consensus on European Bank Credit
October 28th, 2009

The French Rebound Continues In October While Germany Moves Sideways
October 28th, 2009

Spain's Manufacturing Contraction Accelerates in September
October 7th, 2009

Spain's Current Account Deficit Folds in on Itself
October 7th, 2009

As Hungary's "Correction" Heads For A Dead End, Time For A Change Of Course?
September 21st, 2009

How Will The ECB Ever Manage To Stop Funding Spanish Government Debt?
September 16th, 2009

Bank Rossii Eases Further as Russia's Economy Contracts at a Record Rate
September 16th, 2009

Latvia's Agony Continues In The Second Quarter - With Little Relief In Sight
September 9th, 2009

Slovenia Has a Better Second Quarter, But the Slump Continues
September 3rd, 2009

Twenty Percent of Spanish Mortgages Now Considered to be High Risk
August 18th, 2009

Japan Emerges From Recession, but the Slump Continues
August 18th, 2009

Hungary Struggles To Apply Its Own Unique Version Of "Internal Devaluation"
August 3rd, 2009

IMF Imposes New Conditions on Latvia
July 16th, 2009

The Global Manufacturing Contraction Eases Again In June
July 6th, 2009

Are the IMF and the ECB Lining Up Against the EU Commission over Latvia?
June 30th, 2009

Everything In Germany Is Going Up....
June 19th, 2009

Banking Problems In Southern Europe Send The Whole World Running For Cover
June 18th, 2009

The European Parliament election of 2009: the "summer of discontent" poll?
June 8th, 2009

More Than "A Whiff" Of Deflation In Japan
June 2nd, 2009

May Manufacturing Improves Again According To The JPMorgan Global PMI Report
June 2nd, 2009

Exports And Investment Drag German GDP Down In First Quarter
May 28th, 2009

The New Orthodoxy Is Upon Us
May 27th, 2009

Europe’s Economic Activity Looks Up (a bit) In May
May 26th, 2009

Don't Get Carried Away Now!
May 26th, 2009

Japan's Economy Contracts At An Annualised 15.2% In The First Three Months Of 2009
May 22nd, 2009

Is Hungary Set To Become The New Iceland?
May 21st, 2009

The Russian Government Forecasts A Possible 8% GDP Contraction For 2009
May 20th, 2009

Is The Indian Economy Heading For Its Finest Hour?
May 19th, 2009

Slovakia Takes The Biscuit - GDP Drops 11.2% In Three Months
May 18th, 2009

The Agony Continues - Latvian GDP Falls By 18%
May 15th, 2009

Not All East European Economies are the Same
May 13th, 2009

The Global Services Contraction Also Stabilises in April
May 11th, 2009

Japan's Economic Contraction Stabilises In March
May 7th, 2009

The Global Manufacturing Contraction Stabilises In April
May 6th, 2009

Eurozone PMI Rebounds In March
April 24th, 2009

Slovenia's Contraction Continues
April 13th, 2009

Russia's Economy Contracts By 7% In Q1 2009
April 8th, 2009

Spain's Unemployment Continues Its Sharp Upward Surge
April 3rd, 2009

JPMorgan March Global PMI Report Shows (Slightly) Slowing Contraction
April 2nd, 2009

European Economic Sentiment Falls Again In March
April 1st, 2009

The Euro-Zone March PMI Holds Near February's Record-Low
March 27th, 2009

12% GDP Contraction Forecast For Ukraine Economy In 2009
March 24th, 2009

The Almunia Syllogism
March 23rd, 2009

The Serial Borrowing of Catalonia's "Robin Hood"
March 20th, 2009

Germany's Recession Worsens Again
March 16th, 2009

Why You Need Devaluation - An Open Letter To The People Of Estonia
March 13th, 2009

Are Austria's Banks More At Risk Than Their Italian Counterparts?
March 9th, 2009

JP Morgan's Global PMI Shows Another Substantial Contraction In February
March 4th, 2009

Eurozone Inflation Expectations Fall As The Output Gap Rises
March 3rd, 2009

What This Weekend's EU Summit Did And Did Not Achieve
March 2nd, 2009

"There Is No Deflation Threat In Europe" - Jean Claude Trichet - Oh Really!
March 2nd, 2009

Italian Business Confidence and Retail Sales Fall As Bond Spreads Rise
February 28th, 2009

Russia's Economy Declines At An 8% Annual Rate In January
February 27th, 2009

US Fiscal Deficit Projected At 12.3% of GDP In 2009
February 26th, 2009

Japan's Exports Collapse In January
February 25th, 2009

Let The East Into The Eurozone Now!
February 23rd, 2009

Europe's Economic Contraction Intensifies In February
February 21st, 2009

Ukraine GDP Down 20% Year on Year In January
February 19th, 2009

The EU Bonds Story Rumbles On
February 18th, 2009

Santander's Banif Fund Suspends Payments
February 17th, 2009

Japan's "Unimaginable" Contraction
February 16th, 2009

Germany's Incredible Shrinking Economy
February 13th, 2009

China - The Begining Of The End, Or The End Of The Beginnining?
February 13th, 2009

Russian Debt And The Euro
February 10th, 2009

Italy Needs EU Bonds And It Needs Them Now!
February 9th, 2009

The (Credit) Drought In Spain Falls Mainly On The Plane
February 4th, 2009

Eurozone Manufacturing Contraction Continues To Be Severe
February 3rd, 2009

Central Europe's Manufacturing And Consumers In A State Of Shock
February 3rd, 2009

China's Manufacturing Sector Continued To Contract In January
February 2nd, 2009

Why Latvia Needs To Devalue Soon - A Reply To Christoph Rosenberg
February 1st, 2009

Spain's Recession Deepens
January 31st, 2009

Germany's Economic Woes Continue In January
January 23rd, 2009

The Long And Difficult Road To Wage Cuts As An Alternative To Devaluation
January 20th, 2009

Germany IS About To Have Its Worst Recession Since WWII
January 20th, 2009

Italy Slips Slowly But Steadily Into Its Worst Recession In Over 30 Years
January 18th, 2009

Will All Be Well, And End Well, In Estonia?
January 15th, 2009

S&P's Puts Spanish Sovereign Debt On Ratings Watch Negative
January 15th, 2009

Portugal Sustains
January 15th, 2009

Putting Out Fires During Noah's Flood, Or Eyeless In Gaza Part II
January 13th, 2009

As The Labour Market Turns German Exports And New Orders Tumble
January 9th, 2009

Why Spain's Economic Crisis Is Something More Than A "Housing Slump"
January 8th, 2009

December's JPMorgan Global PMI Shows Just How Far The Infection Has Spread
January 5th, 2009

What Are The Chances That We Just Hit The Second Great Depression Out In Ukraine?
January 1st, 2009

What Is The Level Of Deflation Risk In Germany?
December 30th, 2008

Did (or Didn't) Japan Just Re-introduce Quantitative Easing?
December 25th, 2008

Why The IMF's Decision To Agree A Latvian Bailout Programme Without Devaluation Is A Mistake
December 22nd, 2008

Japan's Contraction Is Evidently Far Worse Than Previously Estimated
December 18th, 2008

Russia's Economic And Financial Meltdown Continues Apace
December 16th, 2008

Why We All Need To Keep A Watchful Eye On What Is Happening In Greece
December 15th, 2008

So Just When Does Spain's Twin Deficit Problem Become Unsustainable?
December 13th, 2008

The NBH Cuts Interest Rates As Hungary Enters Its Second Recession In Two Years
December 11th, 2008

Romania's Economy Heads Off Quietly And With No Fanfares Into It's Deepest Crisis in a Decade
December 9th, 2008

As Spanish Unemployment Rises Sharply Again, Just When Did Spain Enter Recession?
December 3rd, 2008

With Italy In Recession Consumer Confidence Declines Further In November
November 27th, 2008

Are Baltic Devaluations Now In The Works?
November 24th, 2008

As The Federal Reserve Readies-Up Quantitative Easing, The Bank of Spain Sees Little Prospect Of Deflation
November 22nd, 2008

As The Federal Reserve Readies-Up Quantitative Easing, The Bank of Spain Sees Little Prospect Of Deflation
November 21st, 2008

The Spanish Crisis In A Nutshell
November 19th, 2008

As Inflation Continues To Fall Back, Is The Indian Economy About To Take Off Again?
November 18th, 2008

Germany's Recession Becomes Official
November 17th, 2008

Inflation Is Dead In Spain, Fasten Up Your Seat Belts For A Sharp Dose Of Deflation
November 16th, 2008

As Inflation Continues To Fall Back, Is The Indian Economy About To Take Off Again?
November 14th, 2008

German Recession Near Certainty As As New Orders And Industrial Output Continue To Fall
November 10th, 2008

The Spanish Agony Continues With October Services Hitting A Series Low
November 10th, 2008

Manufacturing Falls Off A Cliff And Unemployment Goes Through The Roof In Spain, As Global Manufacturing Plummets
November 10th, 2008

German Business Confidence Worsens Significantly In October
November 5th, 2008

In Search Of The Bottom - Estonia's Economy Continues To Drift Aimlessly
November 4th, 2008

After Wearing The Hair Shirt For Over Two Years Hungary Is Now Helped Into The Straight Jacket
November 3rd, 2008

The Bank Bailouts Are Very Well Intended, But Where Is All The Money Going To Come From?
November 2nd, 2008

As The BOJ Cuts Rates Japan Grits Its Teeth For Another Bout Of Deflation
November 1st, 2008

As Ukraine And Hungary Accept IMF Loans, Will Poland Be Next?
October 29th, 2008

And So It Ends - Hungary's Government Announces Foreign Currency Loan Wind-up Package
October 27th, 2008

Despite The "Sudden Stop" Kazakhstan Won't Be Calling On The IMF For Help
October 22nd, 2008

Hungary Is Headed For A Substantial Recession As Foreign Exchange Lending Seizes Up
October 20th, 2008

Training Session on the Spanish Bank Bailout Plan
October 20th, 2008

Now Serbia Adds Its Name To Those In The IMF Sick Ward
October 16th, 2008

The Baltic States May Soon Follow Hungary Into IMF Receivership
October 15th, 2008

IMF To Step In With Rescue Package For Hungary
October 15th, 2008

Europe's Leaders Agree To A Common Front In Fighting The Banking Crisis
October 14th, 2008

Ukraine Wobbles As The Financial Ground Beneath It Trembles
October 12th, 2008

Spain's Economy Peers Out Over The Precipice: The Abyss Lies Below
October 11th, 2008

INSEE Signal Recession In The French Economy
October 9th, 2008

Brazil's Economy Enters The Eye Of The Storm
October 8th, 2008

As Europe’s Banks Falter, Is There A Risk To The Eurozone?
October 7th, 2008

India's Ship IS Battered By The Global Storm, But She Will Survive!
October 7th, 2008

Russia's Crisis Spreads Right Across The Domestic Credit Market
October 3rd, 2008

Slovenia - Are Things Really As Good As They Look?
September 30th, 2008

Happy Families Russian Style
September 28th, 2008

The Eurozone Is In Recession, But Where Do We Go From Here?
September 26th, 2008

Eurozone Flash PMI's For Manufacturing And Services Indicate Continuing Contraction
September 26th, 2008

Trichet Announces New Rules For ECB Funding
September 5th, 2008

Have We Seen "Peak" Italian Retail Sales?
September 3rd, 2008

Italy Enters Recession, But When Will It Leave?
August 8th, 2008

German Consumer Confidence Slides Raising Eurozone Recession Fears
July 28th, 2008

What Is The Risk Of A Serious Melt-Down In The Spanish Economy?
July 18th, 2008

What Is The Recession Risk For The German Economy?
July 7th, 2008

Italy's Economy On The Ropes (Again)
June 30th, 2008

Has Spain Contracted The Artemio Cruz Syndrome?
June 20th, 2008

Will The Real Ukraine Central Bank Please Stand Up!
June 18th, 2008