A frustrating TIC data release
Brad Setser
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Jan 17, 2007
I guess all TIC releases are frustrating, but I found today's release especially frustrating. Total net monthly inflows -- $75b -- are just enough to cover the current account deficit (which is running a bit under $900b). Though, consistent with recent trends, net long-term inflows ($58b) weren't quite large enough to cover the deficit. Foreign demand for US long-term debt and equities was strong ($107.5b), but so was US demand for foreign assets ($39b in November). Incidentally, net inflows are a bit different than the difference between foreign and US purchases because of an adjustment for principal repayments on agencies and mortgage backed securities But that isn't the frustrating bit. The frustrating bit is that the split between private/ official flows simply doesn't make sense, nor does the geographic breakdown. Register for RGE EconoMonitorsAccess to some RGE EconoMonitors, including Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor, is reserved for registered users, so sign up now to read and comment on current postings. These writings are only a small part of the insights and commentary available through RGE Monitor. Contact us today at info@rgemonitor.com or 212.645.0010 to learn more about becoming a full subscriber. |
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