Dollar depreciation has increased exports. But Andrew Tilton is also on to something ... to export you need to invest in your export sector
Brad Setser
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Aug 18, 2006
US exports are enjoying their strongest three-year period of growth since 1987-89. If growth rate of the first half of the year is sustained, the cumulative increase in US exports between the end of 2003 and the end of 2006 will be around 42%. The increase from the end of 86 to the end of 89 was around 57%. I remained amazed that so many people think that dollar depreciation has had no impact. 87-89 was also a period of dollar weakness. As is the current period. Consider the following graph.
The connection between dollar depreciation and a surge in export growth (with a llag) seems pretty clear. Register for RGE EconoMonitorsAccess to some RGE EconoMonitors, including Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor, is reserved for registered users, so sign up now to read and comment on current postings. These writings are only a small part of the insights and commentary available through RGE Monitor. Contact us today at info@rgemonitor.com or 212.645.0010 to learn more about becoming a full subscriber. |
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